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Software outlaw roams the streets! | page 1, 2

In the previous two years, of course, Microsoft's Internet Explorer browser took the lead from Netscape's Navigator/Communicator and Netscape was sold to America Online. The browser war was widely declared over and won. So the big question hanging over the continuing antitrust case is, what further markets will Microsoft move into while the law grinds away?

Scott Rosenberg

Jackson's ruling makes explicit something astute observers have long understood: That Microsoft's victory in the browser war was a negative achievement -- it prematurely shut down certain avenues of computing's evolution before they had a chance to emerge. Microsoft wanted to make sure that the Web browser did not become a useful applications platform that might challenge aspects of its operating system monopoly.

Maybe the Web browser, for a variety of technical reasons, wouldn't have proven a very good platform anyway; but Microsoft made sure we wouldn't have the chance to see for ourselves. By weaving the browser into its own operating system, it wasn't "innovating," but rather choking off the potential innovations of others.

All that said, anyone trying to view the Microsoft trial with some kind of balance must remain torn between two valid perspectives: On the one hand, Microsoft has behaved like a predatory monopolist and probably deserves to have the full weight of antitrust law land with a kick on its arrogant posterior. On the other hand, the technology market does move so fast that every couple of years there is, as Bill Gates is constantly reminding us and his own troops, a new challenge to Microsoft's dominance. Yesterday, Netscape; tomorrow, Linux?

Some commentators have placed great weight on the possibility that Microsoft, in the wake of the "findings of law" ruling, may now find itself dealing with a vast number of distracting private lawsuits based on its new, confirmed legal status as monopolist. But the ultimate significance of this week's failed settlement talks and harsh judicial ruling may well lie in Microsoft's ability to fight more rounds of its market-dominance game before its legal rope runs out.

In the past, the company has trounced its opponents, one after another -- from the pre-DOS operating system CP/M to IBM and Apple to its competitors in the office suite market to Netscape. With each victory, Microsoft has, to adopt its own favored verbs, "embraced" new markets and "extended" its sway -- from command-line operating systems to graphical operating systems to office productivity software to Web browsers, its hegemony keeps widening. Now the next wave of competitors looms: Handheld devices are a platform Microsoft does not yet control; the server marketplace is hotly contested; electronic commerce remains a wide-open field.

As long as the antitrust case is wending its way through the courts, and whatever happens at the end of that road -- whether the appeals judges exonerate the company or the government succeeds in busting it up -- Microsoft will have years more to fight these battles.

How many more markets will be "embraced and extended" into Microsoft fiefdoms by the time the courts have finished their work? And how can any ultimate remedy -- even a breakup of Microsoft -- make up for the innovations lost and the choices foreclosed?
salon.com | April 3, 2000

 

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About the writer
Scott Rosenberg is Salon's managing editor. For more columns by Rosenberg, visit his column archive.

Table Talk
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Tipping the antitrust scales How the right made the federal courts safe for Microsoft.
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